How much revenue did Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest make?

$885–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest sell?

Q: How many copies did Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest sell?

645 to 1k copies, based on its 26 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 645–1k; $885–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut; from 26 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–5.8M

best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)

Games like Slenderman: Shadow of the Forest

A typical game among these

≈ 4.6M–5.8M copies

≈ $53.6M–$69.9M after Steam's cut

from ~140k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 35k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 45k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and Horror (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Online Co-Op + Exploration + Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Lethal Company 2023	Est. copies ≈ 12.7M–20.6M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	511k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Online Co-OpHorror
Outlast 2013	Est. copies ≈ 8.8M–14.4M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $36.4M–$98.0M after Steam's cut $66.3M–$150.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	140k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorFirst-Person
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	128k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Alien: Isolation 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M too small to compare SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	67k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
The Outlast Trials 2024	Est. copies ≈ 2.8M–4.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.7M–$82.5M after Steam's cut $55.8M–$126.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	112k reviews Very Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Poppy Playtime 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue Free	Free	143k reviews Very Positive	HorrorFree to Play
Resident Evil Village 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	155k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Survival Horror Horror
Five Nights at Freddy's: Security Breach 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M too small to compare SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $19.1M–$51.4M after Steam's cut $34.8M–$79.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	70k reviews Very Positive	HorrorSingleplayer