How much revenue did Lightning Katana make?

$1k–$4k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lightning Katana sell?

Q: How many copies did Lightning Katana sell?

670 to 1k copies, based on its 27 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 670–1k; $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut; from 27 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lightning Katana and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lightning Katana's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–4.7M

best case 8.0M (ULTRAKILL)

Games like Lightning Katana

A typical game among these

≈ 1.8M–4.7M copies

≈ $15.8M–$52.5M after Steam's cut

from ~67k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: ULTRAKILL at ≈ 6.1M–9.9M copies, ≈ $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 40 to 22k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Fast-Paced (5 of 8) and FPS (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Boomer Shooter + Fast-Paced, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2007 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DOOM + DOOM II 2007	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.6M after Steam's cut $9.2M–$20.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	29k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	FPSClassic
ULTRAKILL 2020	Est. copies ≈ 6.1M–9.9M 3.7x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $50.2M–$134.8M after Steam's cut $91.2M–$207.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	245k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFast-Paced
DOOM: The Dark Ages 2025	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $15.8M–$42.4M after Steam's cut $28.7M–$65.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	46k reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS
Ghostrunner 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut	$29.99	67k reviews Very Positive	ActionCyberpunk
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE 2014	Est. copies ≈ 5.0M–8.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.1M–$110.6M after Steam's cut $74.8M–$170.2M before Steam's cut	$29.99	89k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Great SoundtrackHack and Slash
DUSK 2018	Est. copies ≈ 778k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.3M–$11.5M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	26k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Boomer ShooterFPS
Beat Saber 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.2M–3.6M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.1M–$32.5M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.0M before Steam's cut	$19.99	76k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRRhythm
Herald of Havoc 2023	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut	$16.99	283 reviews Very Positive	Boomer ShooterStylized