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How many copies did From Dust sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 189k–307k
$778k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid From Dust and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including From Dust's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 94k–836k
best case 1.9M (WorldBox - God Simulator)
Games like From Dust

A typical game among these

≈ 94k–836k copies

≈ $564k–$12.6M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: WorldBox - God Simulator at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share God Game (8 of 8) and Sandbox (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + God Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Reus
2013
Est. copies
≈ 379k–616k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
God GameStrategy
Doodle God
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76k–123k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$313k–$841k after Steam's cut $569k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
IndieCasual
Planet Coaster 2
2024
Est. copies
≈ 366k–595k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$6.5M–$17.6M after Steam's cut $11.9M–$27.1M before Steam's cut
$64.99
15k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationStrategy
Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
3.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.0M–$35.0M after Steam's cut $23.6M–$53.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
The Universim
2024
Est. copies
≈ 265k–430k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
11k reviews
Mostly Positive
City BuilderGod Game
WorldBox - God Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGod Game
The Sapling
2019
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$286k–$768k after Steam's cut $520k–$1.2M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimSandbox
Tiny Town VR
2017
Est. copies
≈ 43k–70k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$179k–$481k after Steam's cut $325k–$740k before Steam's cut
$14.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationIndie

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