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How many copies did Forest Factory Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 521–846
$571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
from 21 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Forest Factory Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Forest Factory Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17k–20k
best case 146k (BOOK OF HOURS)
Games like Forest Factory Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 17k–20k copies

≈ $39k–$67k after Steam's cut

from ~534 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: BOOK OF HOURS at ≈ 111k–181k copies, ≈ $764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 274 reviews in their first month; the range was 58 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Life Sim (6 of 8) and Simulation (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Card Game; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Retirement Simulator
2022
Est. copies
≈ 97k–158k
7.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$374k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $681k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
4k reviews
Mostly Negative
Early AccessSimulation
BOOK OF HOURS
2023
Est. copies
≈ 111k–181k
8.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$764k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
RPGCard Game
High School Odyssey
2023
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$38k–$102k after Steam's cut $69k–$156k before Steam's cut
$8.99
617 reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimRPG
A guard walks into a tavern
2023
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$24k–$64k after Steam's cut $43k–$98k before Steam's cut
$7.99
434 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterMedieval
Ninja Village
2022
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$36k–$97k after Steam's cut $66k–$150k before Steam's cut
$8.99
590 reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGWargame
Crypto Mining Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 38k–62k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$52k–$140k after Steam's cut $95k–$216k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Mixed
SimulationIdler
古代风流传
2023
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$22k before Steam's cut
$1.45
527 reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGMature
SERIES MAKERS TYCOON
2019
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before Steam's cut
$4.99
534 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationIndie

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