How much revenue did Tcheco in the Castle of Lucio make?

$13k–$36k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tcheco in the Castle of Lucio sell?

Q: How many copies did Tcheco in the Castle of Lucio sell?

49k to 80k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 49k–80k; $13k–$36k after Steam's cut $24k–$55k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tcheco in the Castle of Lucio and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tcheco in the Castle of Lucio's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.2M–8.0M

best case 47.6M (Geometry Dash)

Games like Tcheco in the Castle of Lucio

A typical game among these

≈ 6.2M–8.0M copies

≈ $66.9M–$83.6M after Steam's cut

from ~180k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Geometry Dash at ≈ 36.2M–58.9M copies, ≈ $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (5 of 8) and Metroidvania (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Funny; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
Portal 2 2011	Est. copies ≈ 29.5M–48.0M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $81.1M–$218.1M after Steam's cut $147.5M–$335.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	467k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Platformer Puzzle
Cuphead 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7.6M–12.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $41.9M–$112.7M after Steam's cut $76.2M–$173.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	222k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	DifficultCartoon
Fall Guys 2020	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.9M 2.6x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	468k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerParty Game
Geometry Dash 2014	Est. copies ≈ 36.2M–58.9M 3.6x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $49.7M–$133.7M after Steam's cut $90.4M–$205.7M before Steam's cut	$4.99	647k reviews Very Positive	DifficultMusic
Dead Cells 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	184k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction Roguelike
Ori and the Will of the Wisps 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulMetroidvania