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How many copies did Fishing: Barents Sea sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 81k–132k
$558k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fishing: Barents Sea and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fishing: Barents Sea's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–3.2M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Fishing: Barents Sea

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–3.2M copies

≈ $16.5M–$21.9M after Steam's cut

from ~57k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 10k to 24k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (5 of 8) and Open World (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Pixel Graphics + Farming Sim + Life Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Russian Fishing 4
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
91k reviews
Mixed
FishingMultiplayer
Microsoft Flight Simulator X: Steam Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.5M after Steam's cut $18.6M–$42.2M before Steam's cut
$24.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
FlightSimulation
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Dinkum
2025
Est. copies
≈ 725k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.7M after Steam's cut $7.2M–$16.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftAgriculture
DREDGE
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.6M–$41.9M after Steam's cut $28.4M–$64.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationFishing
Fishing Planet
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
78k reviews
Very Positive
FishingFree to Play
Black Desert
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.3M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
94k reviews
Mostly Positive
MMORPGMassively Multiplayer
Train Simulator Classic
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before Steam's cut
$29.99
29k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationTrains

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