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How many copies did Dad Quest sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–9k
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
from 179 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dad Quest and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dad Quest's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 592k–2.4M
best case 5.9M (Celeste)
Games like Dad Quest

A typical game among these

≈ 592k–2.4M copies

≈ $4.4M–$28.9M after Steam's cut

from ~22k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Celeste at ≈ 4.5M–7.4M copies, ≈ $24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 5k reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Metroidvania (5 of 8) and Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Platformer, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rain World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.0M–3.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
58k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAtmospheric
Rogue Legacy 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 376k–611k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeMetroidvania
CONTROL Ultimate Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
ActionSupernatural
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.5M–7.4M
6.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.9M–$67.0M after Steam's cut $45.3M–$103.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
149k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Momodora: Reverie Under The Moonlight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 498k–809k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Metroidvania2D Platformer
The Messenger
2018
Est. copies
≈ 404k–656k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
RetroPlatformer
Soul Device
2023
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$510–$1k after Steam's cut $928–$2k before Steam's cut
$4.99
15 reviews
Positive
Action RoguelikeMetroidvania
Blasphemous 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 540k–878k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.1M–$27.6M before Steam's cut
$44.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
CombatFantasy

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