How much revenue did Pathway make?

$287k–$771k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Pathway sell?

Q: How many copies did Pathway sell?

65k to 106k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 65k–106k; $287k–$771k after Steam's cut $521k–$1.2M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Pathway and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Pathway's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 236k–429k

best case 1.2M (Loop Hero)

Games like Pathway

A typical game among these

≈ 236k–429k copies

≈ $1.5M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~8k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Loop Hero at ≈ 907k–1.5M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 15k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8) and Turn-Based (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tactical + Rogue-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Deckbuilding + Rogue-lite + Choices Matter; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Loop Hero 2021	Est. copies ≈ 907k–1.5M 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.7M–$10.1M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	37k reviews Very Positive	TacticalRogue-like
Caves of Qud 2024	Est. copies ≈ 316k–514k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Procedural GenerationTurn-Based Combat
Shogun Showdown 2024	Est. copies ≈ 176k–286k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $726k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Replay ValueStrategy RPG
The Last Spell 2023	Est. copies ≈ 341k–555k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.3M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	14k reviews Very Positive	StrategySingleplayer
Banner of the Maid 2019	Est. copies ≈ 241k–391k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$16.99	8k reviews Very Positive	StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
Hero's Hour 2022	Est. copies ≈ 143k–232k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $706k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$17.99	6k reviews Mostly Positive	Turn-BasedPixel Graphics
Songs of Conquest 2024	Est. copies ≈ 337k–547k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.5M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.5M before Steam's cut	$29.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Local MultiplayerTurn-Based Tactics
Battle for Wesnoth 2018	Est. copies ≈ 183k–297k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	6k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayStrategy