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How many copies did MOTHERGUNSHIP sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 49k–80k
$340k–$913k after Steam's cut $618k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MOTHERGUNSHIP and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MOTHERGUNSHIP's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 414k–1.8M
best case 12.4M (Deep Rock Galactic)
Games like MOTHERGUNSHIP

A typical game among these

≈ 414k–1.8M copies

≈ $3.7M–$15.8M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Deep Rock Galactic at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 926 to 63k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share FPS (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dwarf + Co-op, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Gunfire Reborn
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.2M–$38.1M after Steam's cut $25.7M–$58.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
104k reviews
Very Positive
Barony
2015
Est. copies
≈ 888k–1.4M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.1M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerAction Roguelike
Post Void
2020
Est. copies
≈ 308k–500k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$253k–$680k after Steam's cut $460k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSPsychedelic
SUPERHOT: MIND CONTROL DELETE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 318k–516k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
FPSTime Manipulation
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
18x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.8M–$209.2M after Steam's cut $141.5M–$321.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
380k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 608k–989k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.6M–$17.3M before Steam's cut
$24.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
BPM: BULLETS PER MINUTE
2020
Est. copies
≈ 283k–461k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
11k reviews
Very Positive

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