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How many copies did Skeletal Dance Party sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
from 70 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Skeletal Dance Party and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Skeletal Dance Party's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 321k–966k
best case 2.9M (Noita)
Games like Skeletal Dance Party

A typical game among these

≈ 321k–966k copies

≈ $3.0M–$7.0M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Noita at ≈ 2.2M–3.6M copies, ≈ $12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 2k to 17k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Villain Protagonist (6 of 8) and Dungeon Crawler (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Physics + Rogue-like, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Iratus: Lord of the Dead
2020
Est. copies
≈ 205k–333k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
Legend of Keepers: Career of a Dungeon Manager
2021
Est. copies
≈ 136k–222k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$750k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Pixel GraphicsTurn-Based Combat
Exanima
2015
Est. copies
≈ 683k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
PhysicsRPG
War for the Overworld
2015
Est. copies
≈ 397k–645k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.8M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Dungeon CrawlerBase-Building
CARRION
2020
Est. copies
≈ 895k–1.5M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
Villain ProtagonistPixel Graphics
Dungeons 2
2015
Est. copies
≈ 258k–419k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyManagement
Untitled Goose Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 627k–1.0M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyVillain Protagonist
Noita
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.6M after Steam's cut $22.0M–$50.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
89k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PhysicsRogue-like

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.