How much revenue did Nephise Begins make?

$13k–$35k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Nephise Begins sell?

Q: How many copies did Nephise Begins sell?

48k to 78k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 48k–78k; $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Nephise Begins and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Nephise Begins's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 658k–844k

best case 2.4M (What Remains of Edith Finch)

Games like Nephise Begins

A typical game among these

≈ 658k–844k copies

≈ $4.8M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~10k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: What Remains of Edith Finch at ≈ 1.8M–3.0M copies, ≈ $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Walking Simulator (7 of 8) and First-Person (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
What Remains of Edith Finch 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–3.0M 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichAtmospheric
The Vanishing of Ethan Carter 2014	Est. copies ≈ 503k–818k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	9k reviews Very Positive	MysteryAtmospheric
Octodad: Dadliest Catch 2014	Est. copies ≈ 601k–976k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	ComedyPhysics
Amnesia: A Machine for Pigs 2013	Est. copies ≈ 770k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	12k reviews Mixed	Horror Walking Simulator
The Stanley Parable 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.9M–4.7M 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$32.1M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.4M before Steam's cut	$14.99	46k reviews Very Positive	ComedyNarration
The Beginner's Guide 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	24k reviews Very Positive	Story Rich Walking Simulator
Brothers - A Tale of Two Sons 2013	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 3.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.8M–$28.9M after Steam's cut $19.6M–$44.5M before Steam's cut	$14.99	41k reviews Very Positive	AdventureAtmospheric
Dr. Langeskov, The Tiger, and The Terribly Cursed Emerald: A Whirlwind Heist 2015	Est. copies ≈ 497k–808k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	10k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlayComedy