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How many copies did Star Renegades sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 76k–124k
$525k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $955k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Star Renegades and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Star Renegades's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 144k–346k
best case 881k (Darkest Dungeon® II)
Games like Star Renegades

A typical game among these

≈ 144k–346k copies

≈ $1.3M–$3.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® II at ≈ 671k–1.1M copies, ≈ $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 3k reviews in their first month; the range was 761 to 12k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-like (8 of 8) and Rogue-lite (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics + Dungeon Crawler, priced around $40.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$376k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $683k–$1.6M before Steam's cut
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Legend of Keepers: Prologue
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Free
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Est. copies
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Rogue-likeTurn-Based Combat
Ring of Pain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$697k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut
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Dungeon CrawlerCard Game
HELLCARD
2024
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≈ 116k–188k
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Iratus: Lord of the Dead
2020
Est. copies
≈ 205k–333k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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RPGStrategy
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≈ 439k–714k
3.4x vs typical
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Darkest Dungeon® II
2023
Est. copies
≈ 671k–1.1M
5.2x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
27k reviews
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Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.