How much revenue did Lonely Mountains: Downhill make?

$491k–$1.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Lonely Mountains: Downhill sell?

Q: How many copies did Lonely Mountains: Downhill sell?

89k to 145k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 89k–145k; $491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Lonely Mountains: Downhill and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Lonely Mountains: Downhill's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23k–531k

best case 1.4M (MX Bikes)

Games like Lonely Mountains: Downhill

A typical game among these

≈ 23k–531k copies

≈ $345k–$6.9M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: MX Bikes at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 195 reviews in their first month; the range was 187 to 1k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Racing (6 of 8) and Sports (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Motocross + Motorbike, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2008 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
MX Bikes 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M 13x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.4M–$27.9M after Steam's cut $18.8M–$42.9M before Steam's cut	$34.99	37k reviews Very Positive	MotocrossMotorbike
Descenders 2019	Est. copies ≈ 694k–1.1M 8.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.8M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.7M before Steam's cut	$24.99	24k reviews Very Positive	SportsRacing
Pro Cycling Manager 2021 2021	Est. copies ≈ 16k–25k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $171k–$459k after Steam's cut $310k–$706k before Steam's cut	$39.99	626 reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationMultiplayer
Pro Cycling Manager 2022 2022	Est. copies ≈ 18k–28k SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $193k–$518k after Steam's cut $351k–$798k before Steam's cut	$39.99	707 reviews Very Positive	SimulationMultiplayer
RIDE 4 2020	Est. copies ≈ 308k–500k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.2M–$14.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	12k reviews Very Positive	RacingMotorbike
Trials Evolution: Gold Edition 2013	Est. copies ≈ 154k–251k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	RacingAction
Trials 2: Second Edition 2008	Est. copies ≈ 18k–29k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $49k–$131k after Steam's cut $88k–$201k before Steam's cut	$9.99	280 reviews Very Positive	RacingIndie
Trials® Rising 2019	Est. copies ≈ 91k–148k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $500k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $908k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Mixed	RacingBikes