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How many copies did Bear With Me - Collector's Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
from 370 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bear With Me - Collector's Edition and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bear With Me - Collector's Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.2M–3.2M
best case 5.0M (Disco Elysium - The Final Cut)
Games like Bear With Me - Collector's Edition

A typical game among these

≈ 2.2M–3.2M copies

≈ $15.1M–$21.5M after Steam's cut

from ~37k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Disco Elysium - The Final Cut at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (8 of 8) and Story Rich (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry RPG + Choices Matter + Isometric; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Blacksad: Under the Skin
2019
Est. copies
≈ 201k–327k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureDetective
Murdered: Soul Suspect
2014
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.4M after Steam's cut $9.8M–$22.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveAdventure
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveCrime
The Wolf Among Us
2013
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.5M–$28.2M after Steam's cut $19.1M–$43.4M before Steam's cut
$14.99
40k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AdventureDetective
Tangle Tower
2019
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePoint & Click
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive
Shadows of Doubt
2024
Est. copies
≈ 442k–719k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.2M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
DetectiveImmersive Sim

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