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How big is Saint Kotar: The Yellow Mask?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 9k–14k
from 348 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Saint Kotar: The Yellow Mask and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Saint Kotar: The Yellow Mask's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–4.8M
best case 27.4M (Phasmophobia)
Games like Saint Kotar: The Yellow Mask

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–4.8M copies

≈ $4.5M–$25.8M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Phasmophobia at ≈ 20.9M–33.9M copies, ≈ $114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 392 to 55k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Co-op (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Supernatural + VR + Online Co-Op; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
143k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
14x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Content Warning
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$24.0M after Steam's cut $16.2M–$36.9M before Steam's cut
$7.99
164k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Firework
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
44k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
Alan Wake
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.7M–$42.1M after Steam's cut $28.5M–$64.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
60k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHorror
Inside the Backrooms
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$6.99
47k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
108k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace

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