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How many copies did Hell Pie sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 44k–72k
$306k–$822k after Steam's cut $556k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hell Pie and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hell Pie's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 865k–1.8M
best case 2.4M (A Hat in Time)
Games like Hell Pie

A typical game among these

≈ 865k–1.8M copies

≈ $8.4M–$13.9M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: A Hat in Time at ≈ 1.8M–3.0M copies, ≈ $15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the range was 4k to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share 3D Platformer (5 of 8) and Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with 3D Platformer + Collectathon, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Hi-Fi RUSH
2023
Est. copies
≈ 893k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RhythmAction
A Hat in Time
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.8M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
54k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cute3D Platformer
Sonic Frontiers
2022
Est. copies
≈ 709k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackOpen World
Sonic Adventure 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGreat Soundtrack
Octodad: Dadliest Catch
2014
Est. copies
≈ 601k–976k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyPhysics
Psychonauts
2006
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.0M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerComedy
Psychonauts 2
2021
Est. copies
≈ 360k–586k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$16.0M after Steam's cut $10.8M–$24.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
3D PlatformerStory Rich
Crash Bandicoot™ N. Sane Trilogy
2018
Est. copies
≈ 679k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.5M–$20.1M after Steam's cut $13.6M–$30.9M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerRemake

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