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How many copies did Fate of the World: Tipping Point sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 28k–46k
$148k–$398k after Steam's cut $269k–$612k before Steam's cut
from 448 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Fate of the World: Tipping Point and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Fate of the World: Tipping Point's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.1M
best case 11.1M (Europa Universalis IV)
Games like Fate of the World: Tipping Point

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–3.1M copies

≈ $11.7M–$47.1M after Steam's cut

from ~56k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Europa Universalis IV at ≈ 8.5M–13.8M copies, ≈ $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 19k to 35k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Grand Strategy (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Historical, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 934k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.7M–$20.7M after Steam's cut $14.0M–$31.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Europa Universalis IV
2013
Est. copies
≈ 8.5M–13.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut $212.0M–$482.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
134k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Sid Meier's Civilization VII
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.9M after Steam's cut $54.1M–$123.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
62k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyHistorical
Beholder
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.4M after Steam's cut $9.1M–$20.6M before Steam's cut
$13.99
31k reviews
Very Positive
Dystopian Choices Matter
Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Victoria 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
63k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyEconomy
Tropico 6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 851k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.4M–$25.2M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderStrategy
Age of History II
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$5.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical

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