How many copies did Burndown sell?

806 to 1k copies, based on its 28 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did Burndown make?

Burndown is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is Burndown?

Estimated players who have it: ≈ 806–1k; from 28 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Burndown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Burndown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 614k–2.2M

best case 5.8M (Mad Max)

Games like Burndown

A typical game among these

≈ 614k–2.2M copies

≈ $5.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Driving (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Mad Max at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Driving (4 of 8) and Automobile Sim (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World + Vehicular Combat, priced around $20.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
The Long Drive 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.2M–$19.2M after Steam's cut $13.0M–$29.6M before Steam's cut	$15.99	57k reviews Very Positive	DrivingOpen World
Mad Max 2015	Est. copies ≈ 4.4M–7.2M 4.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $24.3M–$65.4M after Steam's cut $44.2M–$100.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	91k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldVehicular Combat
Of Guards And Thieves 2014	Est. copies ≈ 242k–393k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Very Positive	MultiplayerFree to Play
RaceRoom Racing Experience 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	28k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayRacing
Garfield Kart 2015	Est. copies ≈ 691k–1.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$4.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Steam Link 2015	Est. copies ≈ 360k–584k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Steam MachineSoftware
Drive Beyond Horizons 2025	Est. copies ≈ 504k–819k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	20k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessAdventure
RAGE 2011	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	18k reviews Mostly Positive	FPSPost-apocalyptic