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How many copies did The Valiant sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–14k
$57k–$154k after Steam's cut $104k–$238k before Steam's cut
from 337 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Valiant and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Valiant's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–4.1M
best case 6.9M (Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition)
Games like The Valiant

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–4.1M copies

≈ $5.9M–$61.5M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition at ≈ 5.3M–8.6M copies, ≈ $50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 236 reviews in their first month; the range was 14 to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Medieval (8 of 8) and RTS (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RTS + City Builder, priced around $35.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2006 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Warlords Under Siege
2025
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$33k–$88k after Steam's cut $60k–$136k before Steam's cut
$9.99
482 reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RoguelikeAction RTS
Age of Empires II: Definitive Edition
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
5.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$50.7M–$136.2M after Steam's cut $92.1M–$209.6M before Steam's cut
$34.99
183k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Warchief
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
72 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessAction
Skel Dungeon: Heroes Must Die!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 422–685
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$8.99
17 reviews
Mixed
MedievalHack and Slash
Age of Empires IV: Anniversary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.9M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.1M–$70.3M after Steam's cut $47.5M–$108.1M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyRTS
Age of Empires II (Retired)
2013
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.6M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$35.7M–$96.1M after Steam's cut $65.0M–$147.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
103k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyRTS
Total War: MEDIEVAL II – Definitive Edition
2006
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.7M–$34.1M after Steam's cut $23.1M–$52.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
StrategyMedieval
Conqueror's Blade
2019
Est. copies
≈ 859k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
MedievalTactical

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