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How many copies did Collapse: A Political Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$10k–$26k after Steam's cut $17k–$40k before Steam's cut
from 201 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Collapse: A Political Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Collapse: A Political Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 37k–459k
best case 1.1M (Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut)
Games like Collapse: A Political Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 37k–459k copies

≈ $97k–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut at ≈ 856k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 40 to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Choices Matter, priced around $18.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Slay the Princess — The Pristine Cut
2023
Est. copies
≈ 856k–1.4M
8.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$17.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelChoices Matter
Suzerain
2020
Est. copies
≈ 296k–481k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelChoose Your Own Adventure
Not For Broadcast
2022
Est. copies
≈ 315k–512k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.8M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$24.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure1980s
China: Mao's legacy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$58k–$156k after Steam's cut $105k–$240k before Steam's cut
$6.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Political SimStrategy
Crisis in the Kremlin
2017
Est. copies
≈ 50k–82k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$69k–$186k after Steam's cut $126k–$286k before Steam's cut
$4.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Political SimStrategy
Ostalgie: The Berlin Wall
2018
Est. copies
≈ 22k–36k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$37k–$98k after Steam's cut $66k–$151k before Steam's cut
$5.99
729 reviews
Very Positive
Political SimSimulation
Long Live The Queen
2013
Est. copies
≈ 453k–736k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelPolitical Sim
KingSim
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$38k after Steam's cut $26k–$59k before Steam's cut
$9.99
210 reviews
Very Positive
Strategy RPGChoose Your Own Adventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.