How much revenue did FREEDIVER: Triton Down make?

$24k–$65k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FREEDIVER: Triton Down sell?

Q: How many copies did FREEDIVER: Triton Down sell?

10k to 16k copies, based on its 340 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–16k; $24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut; from 340 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FREEDIVER: Triton Down and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FREEDIVER: Triton Down's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 47k–67k

best case 15.2M (Subnautica)

Games like FREEDIVER: Triton Down

A typical game among these

≈ 47k–67k copies

≈ $214k–$328k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Subnautica at ≈ 11.6M–18.8M copies, ≈ $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Underwater (7 of 8) and VR (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $30. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Crafting; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
theBlu 2016	Est. copies ≈ 53k–86k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	1k reviews Very Positive	VRSimulation
The Falconeer: Revolution Remaster 2020	Est. copies ≈ 16k–25k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $85k–$230k after Steam's cut $155k–$354k before Steam's cut	$19.99	627 reviews Mostly Positive	CombatOpen World
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M 373x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Ocean Rift 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $13k–$35k after Steam's cut $24k–$54k before Steam's cut	$9.99	139 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualAdventure
Narcosis 2017	Est. copies ≈ 51k–82k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $208k–$560k after Steam's cut $379k–$862k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorAdventure
Time Machine VR 2016	Est. copies ≈ 5k–8k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $40k–$108k after Steam's cut $73k–$166k before Steam's cut	$29.99	117 reviews Mixed	VRAdventure
Biolum 2021	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$3.99	124 reviews Very Positive	HorrorSci-fi
World of Diving 2014	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	765 reviews Mixed	SimulationAdventure