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How many copies did Rebel Inc: Escalation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 189k–307k
$778k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rebel Inc: Escalation and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rebel Inc: Escalation's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–3.1M
best case 11.1M (Europa Universalis IV)
Games like Rebel Inc: Escalation

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–3.1M copies

≈ $14.5M–$47.1M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Europa Universalis IV at ≈ 8.5M–13.8M copies, ≈ $116.6M–$313.5M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Grand Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Historical, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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