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How many copies did Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Tempestfall sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–11k
from 278 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Tempestfall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Tempestfall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 26k–72k
best case 108k (Until You Fall)
Games like Warhammer Age of Sigmar: Tempestfall

A typical game among these

≈ 26k–72k copies

≈ $171k–$502k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Until You Fall at ≈ 82k–134k copies, ≈ $565k–$1.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 191 reviews in their first month; the range was 26 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share VR (8 of 8) and Swordplay (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Swordplay, priced around $25.
When they shipped
4 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this genre is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.6x vs typical
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GoreAction
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VRSwordplay
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≈ 11k–17k
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VRAction
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2020
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2.8x vs typical
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VROnline Co-Op
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ActionEarly Access

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