How much revenue did Moonscars make?

$208k–$560k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Moonscars sell?

Q: How many copies did Moonscars sell?

38k to 62k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 38k–62k; $208k–$560k after Steam's cut $379k–$862k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Moonscars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moonscars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.6M–5.7M

best case 25.6M (Hollow Knight)

Games like Moonscars

A typical game among these

≈ 2.6M–5.7M copies

≈ $33.7M–$73.5M after Steam's cut

from ~87k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Hollow Knight at ≈ 19.5M–31.6M copies, ≈ $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 23k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 27k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Souls-like (5 of 8) and Metroidvania (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Souls-like, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Great Soundtrack + Difficult + Indie; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2.1M–3.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut $75.2M–$171.0M before Steam's cut	$69.99	87k reviews Mostly Positive	ActionAdventure
Dead Cells 2018	Est. copies ≈ 5.6M–9.1M 2.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $38.4M–$103.2M after Steam's cut $69.8M–$158.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	184k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureAction Roguelike
Rain World 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $13.6M–$36.7M after Steam's cut $24.8M–$56.4M before Steam's cut	$24.99	58k reviews Very Positive	DifficultAtmospheric
Ori and the Will of the Wisps 2020	Est. copies ≈ 3.6M–5.9M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $30.0M–$80.6M after Steam's cut $54.5M–$124.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	147k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	BeautifulMetroidvania
Hollow Knight 2017	Est. copies ≈ 19.5M–31.6M 6.5x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $80.3M–$215.8M after Steam's cut $145.9M–$332.0M before Steam's cut	$14.99	566k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Metroidvania Souls-like
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™ 2019	Est. copies ≈ 5.1M–8.2M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	176k reviews Very Positive	Action-AdventureSouls-like
Blasphemous 2019	Est. copies ≈ 2.0M–3.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $18.8M–$50.7M after Steam's cut $34.3M–$78.0M before Steam's cut	$34.99	68k reviews Very Positive	MetroidvaniaPixel Graphics
CONTROL Ultimate Edition 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.6M–2.6M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $17.7M–$47.7M after Steam's cut $32.2M–$73.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	65k reviews Very Positive	ActionSupernatural