How much revenue did Guardians Frontline make?

$60k–$160k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Guardians Frontline sell?

Q: How many copies did Guardians Frontline sell?

9k to 14k copies, based on its 350 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 9k–14k; $60k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$247k before Steam's cut; from 350 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Guardians Frontline and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Guardians Frontline's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.4M

best case 23.0M (No Man's Sky)

Games like Guardians Frontline

A typical game among these

≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies

≈ $9.5M–$21.5M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.5M–28.5M copies, ≈ $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Horror (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with VR + FPS, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Open World + Open World Survival Craft + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SUPERHOT 2016	Est. copies ≈ 1.7M–2.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	41k reviews Very Positive	ActionFPS
Half-Life: Alyx 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.2M–$116.1M after Steam's cut $78.5M–$178.5M before Steam's cut	$59.99	106k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRFPS
Inside the Backrooms 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut	$6.99	47k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorMultiplayer
Alien: Isolation 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.8M–6.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut	$39.99	67k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
No Man's Sky 2016	Est. copies ≈ 17.5M–28.5M 9.0x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $289.3M–$777.8M after Steam's cut $526.0M–$1196.6M before Steam's cut	$59.99	422k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
UNO 2017	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut	$9.99	54k reviews Mostly Positive	Card GameMultiplayer
BONEWORKS 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.8M–$35.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	36k reviews Very Positive	VRPhysics
Subnautica 2018	Est. copies ≈ 11.6M–18.8M 8.1x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $95.5M–$256.7M after Steam's cut $173.6M–$395.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	381k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftSurvival