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How many copies did Peace, Death! 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–36k
$31k–$82k after Steam's cut $56k–$127k before Steam's cut
from 901 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Peace, Death! 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Peace, Death! 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.9M–7.2M
best case 57.1M (Stardew Valley)
Games like Peace, Death! 2

A typical game among these

≈ 5.9M–7.2M copies

≈ $25.5M–$43.9M after Steam's cut

from ~163k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Management (2 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Stardew Valley at ≈ 43.5M–70.7M copies, ≈ $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 12k to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Management (2 of 8) and Rogue-like (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Farming Sim + Life Sim + Agriculture; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.9M–9.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$56.4M–$151.5M after Steam's cut $102.5M–$233.1M before Steam's cut
$35.00
236k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.8M after Steam's cut $40.4M–$91.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
163k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Stardew Valley
2016
Est. copies
≈ 43.5M–70.7M
6.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
1.0M reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Farming SimPixel Graphics
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.5M–$55.0M after Steam's cut $37.2M–$84.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
200k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Cookie Clicker
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
93k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ClickerIdler
Papers, Please
2013
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$14.0M–$37.6M after Steam's cut $25.5M–$57.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
81k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
IndiePolitical
FTL: Faster Than Light
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.7M–$36.8M after Steam's cut $24.9M–$56.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
79k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSpace
People Playground
2019
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
321k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGore

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