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How many copies did LIRE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 670–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 27 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid LIRE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including LIRE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 142k–426k
best case 587k (Tales of the Black Forest)
Games like LIRE

A typical game among these

≈ 142k–426k copies

≈ $794k–$965k after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tales of the Black Forest at ≈ 447k–726k copies, ≈ $491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share RPGMaker (7 of 8) and Female Protagonist (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with RPGMaker + Horror, priced around $4.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Eternal Senia
2015
Est. copies
≈ 589k–957k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeFree to Play
Trick & Treat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 101k–164k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayRPGMaker
Tales of the Black Forest
2019
Est. copies
≈ 447k–726k
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$3.99
16k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGRPGMaker
Ten Trials of Babel: The Doppelganger Maze
2022
Est. copies
≈ 110k–178k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$90k–$242k after Steam's cut $164k–$373k before Steam's cut
$2.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistMultiple Endings
Buy a Croquette!
2024
Est. copies
≈ 214k–348k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGMakerMystery
The Witch's House MV
2018
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$523k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $951k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorRPGMaker
Mad Father
2016
Est. copies
≈ 283k–461k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$779k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGMakerHorror
Noel the Mortal Fate Complete Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 104k–170k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$431k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $783k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.