How much revenue did The Signal State make?

$95k–$255k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Signal State sell?

Q: How many copies did The Signal State sell?

17k to 28k copies, based on its 697 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 17k–28k; $95k–$255k after Steam's cut $173k–$393k before Steam's cut; from 697 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Signal State and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Signal State's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 580k–1.5M

best case 1.7M (Besiege)

Games like The Signal State

A typical game among these

≈ 580k–1.5M copies

≈ $5.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Besiege at ≈ 1.3M–2.1M copies, ≈ $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the range was 744 to 31k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (3 of 8) and Sandbox (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Sandbox, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
shapez 2020	Est. copies ≈ 396k–644k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AutomationBase-Building
Dorfromantik 2022	Est. copies ≈ 735k–1.2M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.7M before Steam's cut	$13.99	30k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
shapez 2 - Factory 2026	Est. copies ≈ 385k–625k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	16k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ManagementStrategy
Trailmakers 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.8M–$21.0M after Steam's cut $14.2M–$32.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	39k reviews Very Positive	SpaceAction
Hacknet 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.4M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	26k reviews Very Positive	HackingSimulation
Besiege 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1.3M–2.1M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut	$14.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationSandbox
World of Guns: Gun Disassembly 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	20k reviews Very Positive	Free to PlaySimulation
Outcore: Desktop Adventure 2022	Est. copies ≈ 457k–743k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	18k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventurePsychological Horror