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How many copies did Ukraine Defender sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$163–$438 after Steam's cut $296–$674 before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ukraine Defender and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ukraine Defender's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.9M–2.3M
best case 65.2M (War Thunder)
Games like Ukraine Defender

A typical game among these

≈ 1.9M–2.3M copies

≈ $14.3M–$49.9M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: War Thunder at ≈ 49.7M–80.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 3 to 73k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (6 of 8) and Flight (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Vehicular Combat. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Vehicular Combat + Combat; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Microsoft Flight Simulator (2020) 40th Anniversary Edition
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.5M after Steam's cut $54.4M–$123.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
73k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationFlight
Besiege
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationSandbox
War Thunder
2013
Est. copies
≈ 49.7M–80.7M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
786k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlaySimulation
Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
ACE COMBAT™ 7: SKIES UNKNOWN
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.1M–$72.7M after Steam's cut $49.2M–$111.9M before Steam's cut
$59.99
57k reviews
Very Positive
FlightJet
WorldBox - God Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.8M–$20.9M after Steam's cut $14.1M–$32.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
57k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxGod Game
Victoria 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
63k reviews
Mixed
Grand StrategyEconomy
Interstellar Turtle Legend
2022
Est. copies
≈ 74–121
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$20–$55 after Steam's cut $37–$84 before Steam's cut
$0.99
3 reviews
3 user reviews
SimulationStrategy

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