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How many copies did Zarlor Mercenary sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before Steam's cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Only 6 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Zarlor Mercenary and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Zarlor Mercenary's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–18k
best case 125k (Sky Force Reloaded)
Games like Zarlor Mercenary

A typical game among these

≈ 9k–18k copies

≈ $28k–$95k after Steam's cut

from ~403 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Sky Force Reloaded at ≈ 96k–155k copies, ≈ $263k–$706k after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 91 reviews in their first month; the range was 37 to 2k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Shoot 'Em Up (6 of 8) and Arcade (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Top-Down + Shoot 'Em Up, priced around $8. The breakout hits carry Top-Down + Top-Down Shooter + Mechs; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Metal Thunder
2024
Est. copies
≈ 15k–25k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$46k–$123k after Steam's cut $83k–$189k before Steam's cut
$10.99
611 reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessFlight
Speed Limit
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut
$9.99
204 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeFast-Paced
CYGNI: All Guns Blazing
2024
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$107k–$287k after Steam's cut $194k–$442k before Steam's cut
$29.99
522 reviews
Mixed
On-Rails ShooterBullet Hell
Insect Swarm
2024
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
6.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$128k–$344k after Steam's cut $232k–$529k before Steam's cut
$6.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FlightShooter
Sky Force Reloaded
2017
Est. copies
≈ 96k–155k
6.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$263k–$706k after Steam's cut $477k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpArcade
Crimzon Clover World EXplosion
2021
Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$54k–$144k after Steam's cut $97k–$222k before Steam's cut
$19.99
393 reviews
Very Positive
ActionShoot 'Em Up
Furious Angels
2017
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$80k before Steam's cut
$4.99
412 reviews
Very Positive
Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Xmas Shooting - Scramble!!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before Steam's cut
$4.99
138 reviews
Very Positive
Bullet HellAnime

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.