How much revenue did Train Sim World® 4 make?

$824k–$2.2M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Train Sim World® 4 sell?

Q: How many copies did Train Sim World® 4 sell?

100k to 162k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 100k–162k; $824k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut; from 4k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Train Sim World® 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Train Sim World® 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 304k–1.1M

best case 1.2M (Transport Fever 2)

Games like Train Sim World® 4

A typical game among these

≈ 304k–1.1M copies

≈ $1.8M–$11.9M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Transport Fever 2 at ≈ 950k–1.5M copies, ≈ $10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 826 reviews in their first month; the range was 669 to 2k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (8 of 8) and Trains (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Management, priced around $40.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Mini Metro 2015	Est. copies ≈ 819k–1.3M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	17k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	StrategyPuzzle
Train Sim World® 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 205k–333k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	SimulationTrains
Train Sim World® 2020 2017	Est. copies ≈ 240k–391k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $859k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut	$12.99	7k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationTrains
Train Sim World® 3 2022	Est. copies ≈ 115k–187k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $789k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationTrains
OpenTTD 2021	Est. copies ≈ 422k–686k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	17k reviews Very Positive	SimulationBuilding
Transport Fever 2 2019	Est. copies ≈ 950k–1.5M 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $10.4M–$28.1M after Steam's cut $19.0M–$43.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	33k reviews Very Positive	SimulationStrategy
Train Simulator Classic 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	29k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationTrains
Railway Empire 2018	Est. copies ≈ 296k–480k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	10k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation