How much revenue did Toy Trains make?

$11k–$30k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Toy Trains sell?

Q: How many copies did Toy Trains sell?

3k to 4k copies, based on its 108 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 3k–4k; $11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before Steam's cut; from 108 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Toy Trains and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Toy Trains's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 95k–295k

best case 1.9M (Train Simulator Classic)

Games like Toy Trains

A typical game among these

≈ 95k–295k copies

≈ $765k–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Train Simulator Classic at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 618 reviews in their first month; the range was 396 to 826.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Simulation (7 of 8) and Trains (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Trains, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Rolling Line 2018	Est. copies ≈ 79k–129k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $437k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $794k–$1.8M before Steam's cut	$19.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	TrainsSimulation
Tiny Town VR 2017	Est. copies ≈ 43k–70k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $179k–$481k after Steam's cut $325k–$740k before Steam's cut	$14.99	1k reviews Very Positive	SimulationIndie
Megaton Rainfall 2017	Est. copies ≈ 79k–129k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $350k–$940k after Steam's cut $636k–$1.4M before Steam's cut	$15.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	SuperheroDestruction
TramSim Vienna - The Tram Simulator 2020	Est. copies ≈ 52k–85k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $501k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $911k–$2.1M before Steam's cut	$34.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationSingleplayer
Derail Valley 2019	Est. copies ≈ 283k–460k 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.1M–$8.4M after Steam's cut $5.7M–$12.9M before Steam's cut	$39.99	10k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Early AccessTrains
Train Sim World® 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 205k–333k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	SimulationTrains
Train Sim World® 4 2023	Est. copies ≈ 100k–162k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $824k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before Steam's cut	$29.99	4k reviews Mostly Positive	TrainsSimulation
Train Simulator Classic 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 8.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before Steam's cut	$29.99	29k reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationTrains