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How many copies did [DE:]Fanastasis sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–7k
$25k–$68k after Steam's cut $46k–$104k before Steam's cut
from 185 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid [DE:]Fanastasis and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including [DE:]Fanastasis's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 24k–309k
best case 4.6M (S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl)
Games like [DE:]Fanastasis

A typical game among these

≈ 24k–309k copies

≈ $190k–$4.4M after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies, ≈ $57.8M–$155.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 553 reviews in their first month; the range was 167 to 88k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Post-apocalyptic (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + FPS, priced around $60.
When they shipped
Only 3 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2: Heart of Chornobyl
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
82x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.8M–$155.4M after Steam's cut $105.1M–$239.2M before Steam's cut
$59.99
141k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldFPS
METAL MAX Xeno Reborn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$127k–$342k after Steam's cut $231k–$526k before Steam's cut
$39.99
466 reviews
Mixed
DogJRPG
AI Dungeon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
803 reviews
Mixed
Multiple EndingsNonlinear
Chernobylite Complete Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 388k–630k
9.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
16k reviews
Very Positive
Post-apocalypticSurvival
Paradise Lost
2021
Est. copies
≈ 62k–101k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$257k–$691k after Steam's cut $467k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Mixed
UndergroundWalking Simulator
Turbo Kid
2024
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$79k–$212k after Steam's cut $144k–$327k before Steam's cut
$19.99
579 reviews
Very Positive
GoreAction
HighFleet
2021
Est. copies
≈ 185k–300k
4.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.3M before Steam's cut
$29.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
SingleplayerIndie
Nocturnals
2024
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$51k–$138k after Steam's cut $93k–$212k before Steam's cut
$7.99
942 reviews
Very Positive
Choices MatterPost-apocalyptic

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