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How many copies did iso-Sphere sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
from 27 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid iso-Sphere and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including iso-Sphere's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 672k–1.0M
best case 1.3M (Unpacking)
Games like iso-Sphere

A typical game among these

≈ 672k–1.0M copies

≈ $5.3M–$7.9M after Steam's cut

from ~21k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

4 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Puzzle (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Unpacking at ≈ 1.0M–1.7M copies, ≈ $5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 36 reviews in their first month; the range was 9 to 4k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (3 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Story Rich, priced around $20.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

TUNIC
2022
Est. copies
≈ 464k–753k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.8M–$10.3M after Steam's cut $7.0M–$15.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationPuzzle
Thronebreaker: The Witcher Tales
2018
Est. copies
≈ 528k–859k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
RPGAdventure
Unpacking
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.6M–$15.1M after Steam's cut $10.2M–$23.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
RelaxingCute
Into the Breach
2018
Est. copies
≈ 682k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.8M–$7.6M after Steam's cut $5.1M–$11.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyTurn-Based Strategy
GLADIABOTS - AI Combat Arena
2019
Est. copies
≈ 26k–43k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$109k–$293k after Steam's cut $198k–$450k before Steam's cut
$14.99
917 reviews
Very Positive
StrategyArtificial Intelligence
Oakenfold
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$19.99
49 reviews
Positive
Gerritory
2020
Est. copies
≈ 347–564
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$762–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$7.99
14 reviews
Positive
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Keep the Keep
2023
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$715–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
$4.99
21 reviews
Positive

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