How much revenue did MHRD make?

$43k–$115k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did MHRD sell?

Q: How many copies did MHRD sell?

16k to 25k copies, based on its 451 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 16k–25k; $43k–$115k after Steam's cut $77k–$176k before Steam's cut; from 451 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid MHRD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including MHRD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 264k–311k

best case 311k (while True: learn())

Games like MHRD

A typical game among these

≈ 264k–311k copies

≈ $1.4M–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: while True: learn() at ≈ 237k–386k copies, ≈ $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Programming (8 of 8) and Puzzle (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Programming + Simulation, priced around $13.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2019. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 36 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
while True: learn() 2019	Est. copies ≈ 237k–386k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $848k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.5M before Steam's cut	$12.99	8k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingSimulation
TIS-100 2015	Est. copies ≈ 201k–326k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $386k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $702k–$1.6M before Steam's cut	$6.99	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ProgrammingPuzzle
SHENZHEN I/O 2016	Est. copies ≈ 189k–306k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $777k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingAutomation
Opus Magnum 2017	Est. copies ≈ 250k–407k 1.5x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleProgramming
EXAPUNKS 2018	Est. copies ≈ 58k–94k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $318k–$854k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingPuzzle
7 Billion Humans 2018	Est. copies ≈ 65k–106k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $269k–$722k after Steam's cut $488k–$1.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	2k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingPuzzle
Automachef 2019	Est. copies ≈ 27k–43k too small to compare SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before Steam's cut	$14.99	925 reviews Mostly Positive	SimulationIndie
Human Resource Machine 2015	Est. copies ≈ 230k–373k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $946k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut	$14.99	5k reviews Very Positive	ProgrammingPuzzle