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How many copies did Extreme-G 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $15k–$33k before Steam's cut
from 141 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Extreme-G 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Extreme-G 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 63k–267k
best case 376k (Biped)
Games like Extreme-G 2

A typical game among these

≈ 63k–267k copies

≈ $648k–$2.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Biped at ≈ 287k–466k copies, ≈ $1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 415 reviews in their first month; the range was 240 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Racing (6 of 8) and Futuristic (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Emotional, priced around $15.
When they shipped
None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2020. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Pacer
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$219k–$589k after Steam's cut $398k–$906k before Steam's cut
$39.99
803 reviews
Mostly Positive
Fast-PacedCombat Racing
GRIP: Combat Racing
2018
Est. copies
≈ 157k–255k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction
Gridiron
2020
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessSports
Redout: Enhanced Edition
2016
Est. copies
≈ 194k–316k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
RacingFlight
Biped
2020
Est. copies
≈ 287k–466k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Character CustomizationEmotional
BallisticNG
2018
Est. copies
≈ 114k–186k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$471k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $856k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingFuturistic
Distance
2018
Est. copies
≈ 231k–375k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.6M before Steam's cut
$24.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
RacingGreat Soundtrack
Inertial Drift
2020
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$231k–$622k after Steam's cut $421k–$958k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RacingIndie

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