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How big is Shardbound: Forge Your Path, Master Your Strategy?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 46k–75k
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shardbound: Forge Your Path, Master Your Strategy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shardbound: Forge Your Path, Master Your Strategy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 34k–69k
best case 2.5M (Minion Masters)
Games like Shardbound: Forge Your Path, Master Your Strategy

A typical game among these

≈ 34k–69k copies

≈ $285k–$596k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Minion Masters at ≈ 1.9M–3.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 929 reviews in their first month; the range was 178 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Turn-Based Tactics (7 of 8) and Card Battler (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Turn-Based Tactics, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Superhero + Turn-Based Combat + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Marvel's Midnight Suns
2022
Est. copies
≈ 609k–990k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$27.0M after Steam's cut $18.3M–$41.6M before Steam's cut
$59.99
25k reviews
Very Positive
SuperheroTurn-Based Tactics
Trials of Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 81k–131k
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$445k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $809k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Knights in Tight Spaces
2025
Est. copies
≈ 23k–38k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$129k–$346k after Steam's cut $234k–$533k before Steam's cut
$19.99
945 reviews
Mixed
Card BattlerIsometric
Dream Tactics
2024
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$86k–$231k after Steam's cut $156k–$356k before Steam's cut
$17.99
701 reviews
Very Positive
JRPGTactical
Tales & Tactics
2024
Est. copies
≈ 56k–91k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$278k–$747k after Steam's cut $505k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$17.99
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Hex GridAuto Battler
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
46x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game
Nowhere Prophet
2019
Est. copies
≈ 34k–55k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$233k–$625k after Steam's cut $423k–$962k before Steam's cut
$24.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Warhammer Underworlds - Shadespire Edition (Classic)
2020
Est. copies
≈ 41k–67k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$339k–$910k after Steam's cut $615k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mixed
Turn-Based TacticsCard Battler

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