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How many copies did Neon Noodles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before Steam's cut
from 110 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Neon Noodles and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Neon Noodles's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 12k–45k
best case 202k (Arctic Eggs)
Games like Neon Noodles

A typical game among these

≈ 12k–45k copies

≈ $67k–$298k after Steam's cut

from ~713 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Automation (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Arctic Eggs at ≈ 154k–250k copies, ≈ $422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 208 reviews in their first month; the range was 112 to 919.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Automation (4 of 8) and Cooking (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cooking + Physics, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

EXAPUNKS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 58k–94k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$318k–$854k after Steam's cut $577k–$1.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
ProgrammingPuzzle
Recipe for Disaster
2022
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$75k–$200k after Steam's cut $136k–$308k before Steam's cut
$14.99
729 reviews
Mostly Positive
CookingManagement
Kitchen Crisis
2024
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$33k–$89k after Steam's cut $60k–$137k before Steam's cut
$14.99
323 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualTower Defense
Automachef
2019
Est. copies
≈ 27k–43k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $200k–$454k before Steam's cut
$14.99
925 reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationIndie
Bone's Cafe
2022
Est. copies
≈ 9k–15k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$38k–$101k after Steam's cut $68k–$155k before Steam's cut
$14.99
367 reviews
Very Positive
CookingAutomation
Arctic Eggs
2024
Est. copies
≈ 154k–250k
8.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $768k–$1.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CookingPhysics
The Signal State
2021
Est. copies
≈ 17k–28k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$95k–$255k after Steam's cut $173k–$393k before Steam's cut
$19.99
697 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleLogic
[ECHOSTASIS]
2024
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$31k–$85k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$19.99
231 reviews
Very Positive
ExplorationCyberpunk

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