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How many copies did Garten of Banban 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 113k–184k
$155k–$418k after Steam's cut $282k–$642k before Steam's cut
from 5k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Garten of Banban 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Garten of Banban 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.6M–2.4M
best case 4.6M (Poppy Playtime)
Games like Garten of Banban 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1.6M–2.4M copies

≈ $11.7M–$22.9M after Steam's cut

from ~36k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Poppy Playtime at ≈ 3.5M–5.7M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share First-Person (8 of 8) and Horror (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $11.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Layers of Fear (2016)
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.3M–$17.1M after Steam's cut $11.5M–$26.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
143k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.1M after Steam's cut $27.8M–$63.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
Resident Evil 7 Biohazard
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
3.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.1M–$64.9M after Steam's cut $43.9M–$99.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
128k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pacify
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.1M–$7.0M before Steam's cut
$4.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Amnesia: The Dark Descent
2010
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorGore
Bendy and the Ink Machine
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.0M–$18.9M after Steam's cut $12.8M–$29.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
Buckshot Roulette
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut
$2.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerDark

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