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How many copies did Voyager-19 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–41k
$28k–$75k after Steam's cut $51k–$115k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Voyager-19 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Voyager-19's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.1M–2.7M
best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)
Games like Voyager-19

A typical game among these

≈ 2.1M–2.7M copies

≈ $19.1M–$39.0M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.7M–4.4M copies, ≈ $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the range was 5k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (7 of 8) and Sci-fi (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Space, priced around $25.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

DOOM 3
2012
Est. copies
≈ 794k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$5.9M after Steam's cut $4.0M–$9.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$24.99
108k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Dead Space
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$29.2M–$78.4M after Steam's cut $53.0M–$120.7M before Steam's cut
$59.99
71k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorThird-Person Shooter
Dead Space (2008)
2009
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.2M–$27.3M after Steam's cut $18.5M–$42.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSci-fi
Dead Space™ 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$110.9M after Steam's cut $75.0M–$170.6M before Steam's cut
$39.99
67k reviews
Very Positive
Prey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.5M–$41.8M after Steam's cut $28.2M–$64.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
Sci-fiImmersive Sim
The Callisto Protocol™
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$17.9M–$48.1M after Steam's cut $32.5M–$74.0M before Steam's cut
$59.99
44k reviews
Mixed
HorrorSci-fi

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