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How many copies did Rising Front sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 105k–171k
$434k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $789k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Rising Front and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Rising Front's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 384k–1.8M
best case 2.4M (UNO)
Games like Rising Front

A typical game among these

≈ 384k–1.8M copies

≈ $2.4M–$5.9M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Grand Strategy (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: UNO at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Grand Strategy (4 of 8) and War (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Card Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Age of History II
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.8M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.4M before Steam's cut
$5.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 691k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$948k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before Steam's cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Airships: Conquer the Skies
2018
Est. copies
≈ 201k–327k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Vehicular Combat4X
Ultimate Admiral: Dreadnoughts
2023
Est. copies
≈ 199k–323k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$34.99
8k reviews
Mixed
Naval CombatNaval
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
4.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Sprocket
2021
Est. copies
≈ 323k–525k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessSandbox
Victoria II
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$29.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
21k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Hearts of Iron III
2009
Est. copies
≈ 409k–665k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
6k reviews
Mostly Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy

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